Here's the Wall Street Journal on the highly exaggerated claim of an Heterosexual AIDS epidemic, which has misdirected Billions of research dollars:
Wall Street Journal, June 9, 2008
Retro Virus
"A quarter of a century after the outbreak of Aids, the World Health Organisation (WHO) has accepted that the threat of a global heterosexual pandemic has disappeared," reports the Independent, a leftist London daily:
In the first official admission that the universal prevention strategy promoted by the major Aids organisations may have been misdirected, Kevin de Cock, the head of the WHO's department of HIV/Aids said there will be no generalised epidemic of Aids in the heterosexual population outside Africa.
Dr De Cock, an epidemiologist who has spent much of his career leading the battle against the disease, said understanding of the threat posed by the virus had changed. Whereas once it was seen as a risk to populations everywhere, it was now recognised that, outside sub-Saharan Africa, it was confined to high-risk groups including men who have sex with men, injecting drug users, and sex workers and their clients.
Dr De Cock said: "It is very unlikely there will be a heterosexual epidemic in other countries. Ten years ago a lot of people were saying there would be a generalised epidemic in Asia--China was the big worry with its huge population. That doesn't look likely. But we have to be careful. As an epidemiologist it is better to describe what we can measure. There could be small outbreaks in some areas."
Oh, well, never mind! Anyone old enough to remember the 1980s will recall that America was subjected to a heterosexual AIDS scare. As Time magazine reported in 1985:
By early this year, most Americans had become aware of AIDS, conscious of a trickle of news about a disease that was threatening homosexuals and drug addicts. AIDS, the experts said, was spreading rapidly. The number of cases was increasing geometrically, doubling every ten months, and the threat to heterosexuals appeared to be growing. But it was the shocking news two weeks ago of Actor Rock Hudson's illness that finally catapulted AIDS out of the closet, transforming it overnight from someone else's problem, a "gay plague," to a cause of international alarm. AIDS was suddenly a front-page disease, the lead item on the evening news and a frequent topic on TV talk shows.
Two years later, "How Heterosexuals Are Coping With AIDS" was the topic of a Time cover story:
At first AIDS seemed an affliction of drug addicts and especially of homosexuals, a "gay disease." No longer. The numbers as yet are small, but AIDS is a growing threat to the heterosexual population. Straight men and women in some cases do not believe it, in some cases do not want to believe it. But barring the development of a vaccine, swingers of all persuasions may sooner or later be faced with the reality of a new era of sexual caution and restraint.
Now perhaps it is true that the AIDS scare bred "sexual caution and restraint." It did strike us on reading this passage that the word swingers sounds awfully quaint.
In 1991, basketball star Earvin "Magic" Johnson announced that he was infected with HIV, the virus that causes AIDS. The following year, a Time cover declared: "Losing the Battle: Mysterious Non-HIV Cases Emerge. The Search for a Cure Stalls. Infection Among Women Grows."
And then . . . the AIDS scare fizzled out. Treatments improved; Magic Johnson reportedly has not contracted full-blown AIDS, nearly 17 years after his HIV diagnosis. The disease did not spread to the general population in America--or, as WHO now acknowledges, in most of the rest of the world.
A search of Time covers turns up only three dealing with AIDS since 1992: one in 1996 on Johnson's brief return to the NBA; another that same year on AIDS researcher David Ho, Time's Man of the Year; and one in 2001, on AIDS in Africa. (We don't mean to single out Time, which happens to be one of the few news sources with comprehensive archives available on the Web.)
None of this is to gainsay concern over AIDS in Africa, which is a genuine catastrophe. But the dire warnings of the 1980s that everyone was at risk from AIDS turned out to be false. Those warnings made for more gripping journalism, of course, and they also served certain ideological interests. Social conservatives, who believed sex outside marriage was wrong, were able to argue that it was dangerous as well. (To be fair, it is, but not nearly as much so as the late-'80s AIDS reportage would have had us believe.)
Gay-rights advocates, meanwhile, overcame a huge threat to their cause. Without the heterosexual AIDS scare, it is unlikely that homosexuality would have achieved the degree of public acceptance it has since the 1980s. Indeed, gays might have found themselves abandoned by liberals, who today tend to value hygiene over individual freedom (and if you don't believe us, try walking into a gay bar in New York City and lighting a cigarette).
The AIDS epidemic that wasn't is one reason we are skeptical of global warmism, another purported cataclysm that is supposedly just around the corner, that is purportedly based on science but about which one may not ask questions, and that dovetails conveniently with pre-existing ideological agendas.
Ten or 20 years hence, will we be reading articles about the U.N. admitting that global warming wasn't all it was cracked up to be? Let's hope so
Alas, a fine editorial is ruined by comments re the CO2 problem that reduce it to an ideological dispute.
Let's be clear about this.
Most definitely, "global warming skeptics" should not be ignored; see critiques by F. William Engdahl at www.globalresearch.ca.
But there's zero equivalency with HIV illogic, as real data on the increasing severity and frequency of large storms is possessed by property insurers. Reports in the insurance-industry trade journals that tie global warming to the resulting problem of inadequate reserves to pay claims can hardly be called ideological.
The necessity of decreasing our reliance on fossil fuels is also documented in an investigative report in the latest issue of Discover magazine.
The acidification of oceans caused by the 300-year upward curve of CO2 emissions is a serious problem.
Not underdetermined models, but straightforward chemistry is the basis for dire predictions on the fate of economically important species of fish.
Also predicted is a shock-horror species shift from phytoplankton to dinoflagellates. More of the toxic varieties especially (some cause life-threatening "red tides") will turn the food chain inside out.
Maybe we should at least read the article and reflect on the possibility of the end of civilization as we know it.
Posted by: Nick Naylor | June 14, 2008 at 12:23 PM
Another end of civilization? That's not entirely lacking of equivalency with the prophecies of AIDS's doomsayers some twenty years ago and later. Maybe a reflection is needed on who stands to gain from "manmade climate change" scares (no more "global warming" since temperatures on Earth appears to be, er, cooling). "Climate change" has occurred for natural reasons (first: solar activity) throughout Earth's history, even in a lifetime span.
Posted by: Maria (from Italy) | June 15, 2008 at 04:21 PM
So how do we know for sure that previous climate disasters wouldn't have wiped out a human civilization if one existed millions of years ago?
And for those "literals" to whom the above conjecture in the form of a question is beyond the pale, the good people of Iowa have just experienced a simulated "end of civilization" from an imaginary storm not predicted by global warming models.
Posted by: Nick Naylor | June 23, 2008 at 11:36 AM
As for the first question (the second one is far beyond my capability of understanding):
We don't know! As a matter of fact, there are a lot of geological indications that "climate disasters" of various origins may have wiped out more than one human civilization in the past.
But that doesn't mean that man-made burning of fossil fuels could be the cause of any climate disasters, in the absence of any serious reason to think so. For instance, CO2 emissions due to human activity are nearly negligible compared to CO2 emissions for natural causes, and CO2 contribution to "greenhouse effect" is in the order of few percents.
"Man-made" means that people may be made to feel guilty, and offer little objection to intrusion in their wallets and freedom. AIDS, of course, was said to be spreaded by the bad behaviour of mankind...
Posted by: Maria (from Italy) | June 30, 2008 at 05:49 AM